Monday, December 5, 2011

One Term Presidents

Currently at, the odds of Obama being reelected president are 50.4%--basically a coin flip.  The election is still a year away though and a lot can happen between now and November of 2012.  Historically, the odds of re-election are quite a bit higher than 50%.  Out of 43 previous presidents, only 10 have not been re-elected.  This implies that the average president has a 76% chance of being re-elected.

One Term Presidents:
1. George H.W. Bush
2. Jimmy Carter
3. Gerald Ford
4. Herbert Hoover
5. William Howard Taft
6. Benjamin Harrison
7. Grover Cleveland (served two non-consecutive terms)
8. Martin Van Buren
9. John Quincy Adams
10. John Adams

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