Tuesday, January 15, 2013

The Pace of Apple's Decline Compared to the S&P's '08 Crash

On the way up, people would talk about AAPL as its own asset class because of how well it used to trade relative to the S&P 500.  Now on the way down, AAPL has remained relatively uncorrelated to the index, but not in a way that most people want to see.  Apple is now down almost 30% from its peak levels hit in September of last year.  Such a steep fall would certainly be considered a crash for any other asset class.

In fact, AAPL's recent decline has paced the 2008 September-March crash quite well.  If AAPL were to continue to pace the decline it would bottom somewhere around $350.

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